**UPDATE: Park Geun Hye has been confirmed as the new President of South Korea! Park won 51.5% of the vote against Moon Jae In's 48% to be one of the closest elections in South Korea history! Ahn Cheol-soo, once a prominent presidential candidate, may have cast his endorsement of Moon Jae In too late to cause a significant dent to Park's lead. While Park Geun Hye is favored to strengthen US relations with the current FTA agreement, her leadership and domestic policies within South Korea and the promise to talk with North Korea remains a question. As always, I will stay glued to the Korean news and provide my analysis when anything pressing becomes available! ^ ^
Sunday, December 16, was the last televised debate before the
Wednesday presidential election. Here are a few things to consider.
The president of South Korea only serves ONE five-year term. The two
major candidates both have a unique history and definitely stand on their own as two polar opposites, who had much different upbringings, although they are of the same age (60 years old).
The leader of the Saenuri Party is Park
Geun Hye, a right-wing Conservative whose father was noted as a
"dictator" as well as a harbinger of modernization and economic strength
to South Korea. Unfortunately, since she runs on the coattails of her
father, she also assumes much of the responsibility of her father such
as election scandals and punishment to political dissidents. This is her second time running for president; she lost to Lee Myung Bak during the early primaries in 2002.
Moon Jae
In, is the leader of the Democratic United Party. Moon was a college student, who protested against Park Chung-hee's (Park Geun Hye's father) regime. He passed the bar exam and was second in his class at the Judicial Training and Research Institute. He could have become a judge at this point, but because of his past radical activism, the government considered a precedent to future decisions he would make as a federal judge. He became an attorney fighting for human rights and civil rights and worked with Roh Moo-Hyun, who would later become president of South Korea in 1997. President Roh, although he meant well, was unable to compromise and work with the feuding GNP (now Saenuri Party) who were unwilling to work with him. Later on, President Roh was accused of bribery and thereafter, committed suicide.
South Korean citizens are afraid of a repeat of past mistakes. Whether Park Geun Hye's father authoritarian rule or Moon Jae In's colleague, President Roh and his "do nothing" government may have on voting preference is something that citizens will have to consider as the choice is not 100% clear.
Currently, in the
polls, Park Geun Hye is ahead of Moon Jae In between .5 to 4 percentage
points with +/-2 margin of error.
Why is this election important? Like the US, the economy is slowing
down and the effects are now being realized in South Korea. University
students feel the burden of tuition hikes, labor force is affected by
high unemployment rate, government funding for programs such as social
security may be cut, arguments are made for future implementation to
restructure chaebol system, and the decrease in population--these are all a
threat to the current economy.
More statistics: Park remains a strong force in the 50-80 year old
age group while Moon remains strong in the 20-40 year old age group
because pressures regarding obligation to family and education are the
cause of higher cost of living and deflation in wages (especially if you
live in Seoul).
Moon Jae In looked very composed and he took the offensive at times
like Joe Biden in the VP debate. It was his last, best effort before
Wednesday's election, and I think he did quite well to hold on his
own. Park Geun Hye played it safe for the most part and was less
confrontational, but she did seem to succumb to fatigue toward the end
of the debate; she started to use Daegu dialect and said 아이구, which is
can be seen as condescending. The MBN report asked the viewers what
they thought of the debate and they also shared my thought. On a scale of 1-10,
Moon got a 7 and Park got a 6.
Whether or not this translates into votes and how it affects undecided voters remains unknown.
Park Geun Hye vs. Moon Jae In
Okay, here's my summary and translation of tonight. It was really
difficult to understand some of the candidates' positions but I tried my
best.:
The debate opened up with the moderator asking what are some of the
most pressing issues for South Korea. Park Geun Hye said that stability
against North Korea is first priority and that federal government will
support citizens until they finish high school.
Moon Jae In said that he wanted to do an economic analysis to look at assistance for the aging.
Moon: Mentioned Basic Seniors Pension Act and National Pension reform
Park: Introducing child allowances/benefits and the ability to have that applied is unfeasible
Moon: Long-term suppository with child benefits
Park: Giving a tax-write off or stipend to families, who decide to
have a (another) baby would increase the birth rate. But she does not
want to give aid to children years after they are born.
Moon argues that when the government pitches in with subsidies and
stipends, there will be a reduction in public childcare facilities.
This causes greater participation in the government for childcare
support. He then asks what is the medical and welfare ministry's
financial commitment?
Park replies that there is consideration of a welfare policy
supported by district taxes. She asks Moon how do you propose improving
the educational system and job training programs? She answers her own
question by saying that the test-oriented entrance exam system is
corrupt and that it needs to be reformed.
Moon replies "You're damn right, it's screwed! Saenuri Party totally
ruined our public education system!" More students are entering
private schools and private hagwons and this widens the gap with poor
students and gives them an unfair disadvantage. He will strengthen the
public education system step-by-step.
Park replies: First, repeal compulsory special-purpose/specialized
schools. He proposes some sort of hybrid, mix of both
specialized/vocational and academic education. Moon replies that he
wants more foreign language high schools and to reform prestigious
school entrance exam... Park says something about academic excellence
that totally eluded me.
Moon talks about the rising cost of university tuition. Park
responds about the precedent of reforming and working together with the
Teachers' Union in an amicable fashion. She goes on that the viewpoints
of the Korean Teachers' Union are uncompromising and incorrect. Moon
states that Park is questioning the ideological basis of the union's
standpoint (or maybe it was the entire question on tuition altogether?)
Moon asks how do you then practice and enforce cuts to university
tuition? Park promises wholeheartedly to slash university tuition.
Moon says he wants to grant financial aid for students unable to pay for
tuition. Park says national scholarships are the way to go. She says
that government's role in helping out with college tuition is
skyrocketing. Moon plants his argument that Park is completely
unwilling to help students with tuition cuts. Park gets angry and said
that when she was in government she introduced many bills to grant free
education to students and highlights Yeongnam University. (This part I
was confused. Moon either mentions that Park made many recommendations
to move/remove Yeongnam University or that she made many recommendations
to have many directors/officials hired at Yeongnam University??)
Next question...How do you prevent heinous crimes and impose measures so that they do not reoccur?
Moon: The government assumes responsibility to protect citizens with
public safety measures. It is necessary to stop at the root of the
problem before the person committing the crime is tried as an adullt.
(However, it becomes rather unclear at this point or I just missed it.)
Park: There were 4 heinous sexual assaults/crimes in Korea recently.
There is a shortage in the Korean police force. She wants to increase
the police to 20,000.
Moon to Park: What is your policy on ending nuclear power plants in
Korea? And it is possible to evaluate those screenings in an absolute
transparent manner?Park responds that it is necessary to stop nuclear
testing.
Park to Moon: The National Intelligence Service (Korea's version of CIA/FBI) violated human rights, did they not?
Moon responds that the case is still under investigation. There are allegations of destruction and obstruction of evidence.
Moderator mentions that 3rd party candidate, Lee Jeong Hee(이정희), has bowed out.
Moon asks another question to Park: Do YOU admit that there was illegal campaigning from your headquarters??
Moon asks another question to Park: What do you think are the effects on business regarding the 4 Rivers Project?
Moderator asks candidates: What are future science/technology and human resource development plans?
Moon: There should be an increase for support in the development of space technology.
Moon asks Park: Under the Lee Myung Bak administration, the Ministry
of Science and Technology was abolished (or encountered deep financial
cuts). What are your thoughts on this?
Park responds that in order to see a rise in science and engineering
development, the parliament must participate more and vote in favor for
these programs/initiatives.
Moon says something about funding cuts under Saenuri Party to Ministry of Science and Technology...
FINAL ARGUMENTS
Moon: There (Korea) desperately needs a regime change and a call
for new politics. Lee Myung Bak's government failed... Communication
and government have to work together... And strengthen security...
Park: An era to form regime change is beyond us (??). We need to
participate more in government and stop judging the problems of the
economy. We need to take care of the ailing government...
Korean notes I took during debate:
마지막 토른 대통력
기초노령
저출산
무상 free of charge
Park: financial assistance till you’re in high school
North Korea: stability first priority
Moon: economic analysis to look at assistance for the aging
Park: maintain OECD high level
Moon:
주무
문: 기초노령연금, 국민연근, preserve social security for aging
박: 아동수당 도입, 실현 가능성 낮아
문: 아동수당 장기적인 좌제
박: 아동수당, 출산율 제고 효과
문: 참여정부 때 국공립 보육시설 줄어
참여정부, 보육 지원 큰 폭 늘여
문: 의료 복지 공약 재정 정확한가?
박: 복지정책, 지방비 (district tax) 부담 고려해야
박: 교육제도 개선 방향과 교육 공약은?
박: 입시위주 변질된 교육
대입
문: 새누리당, 우리 교육 완전히 망쳐놔
사교육비 늘어나 가난 대문입니다.
성장 단계별로 공교육 강화할 것
박: 특목고 강제 폐지 시 혼선 생길 것
문: 외국어고, 입시 명문
박: 수월성 평
문: 자사고, 대학보다 등록금 높아
박: 선행, 전교조와 우호적인 과계 이어가나
박: 전교조, 이녀편향성 바뀌어야
문: 박 후보 문제제기가 이념적
문: 반값등록금, 실천 의지 있나?
박: 반값등록금, 일관되게 약속
문: 대학 지원해 등록금
박: 국가 장학금
박: 참여정부 때 대학 등록금 폭등
문: 박 후보, 반값등록금 의지 부족
박: 참여정부, 등록금 자율화 도입
박: Yeongnam Uni long time ago,
문: 박 says 영남대 이사 상당수 추천
문: 복지는 공…
흉악범죄 예방과 재발 방지 대책은?
문:
-국민 안전이 정부 최대 책무
-범죄 근본전인
박:
-성폭력 등 4대악 척결할 것
-부족한 경찰 인력 2만 명 증원
Question time:
문 to 박: 수명 끝난 원전에 대한 정책은?
문 to 박: 원전 투명한 심사 가능한가?
박: 원전 중지, 테스트 거쳐 판단해야
박 to 문: 국정원 여직원 사건, 인권침해 아닌가?
문: 수사 중인 사건…증거인멸 의혹
hurry it up…one minute to go…
박 to 문: 국정원 여직원, 절….
이정희 bows out as 3rd party candidate.
문 to 박: 불법선거사무실 인정하나?
문 to 박: 4대강 사업 얻뗗게 평가하나?
과학기슬 발전과 인재육성 방안은??
문: 여야 초월해 우주 기술 발전 지원해야
문 to 박: 이명박 정부, 과기부 폐지 어떻게 평가?
박: 이공계, 국정 참여 비율 높여야
문: 과학기술 연구원 절반…
Final arguments
문: 정권교체와 새 정치, 간절히필요
이명박 정부 실패…
소통하고 동행하는 정부…
안보 튼튼히 하며…
박: 정권 교체 넘어 시대 교체 이뤄야
참여정부, 경제 문제 평가 끝나
정치 입원…